What is the central idea of the passage?
Explanation:
The main argument of the passage is about the unpredictability of future events even with sufficient past observations. Since the passage is not specifically dealing with human behaviour, options A and B can be discarded. Cognitive dissonance is the state of having inconsistent thoughts, beliefs, or attitudes, especially relating to behavioural decisions and attitude change. Since it is not the main argument of the passage, option C can also be eliminated. Option D captures the essence of the passage in the most appropriate manner, and hence is the correct option. Thus, the correct answer is D.
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